After the last election, there were all kinds of theories about where Democrats went wrong. But now, four months later, we have a lot more data – and it tells a few clear stories.David Shor is the head of data science at Blue Rose Research, a Democratic polling firm, which does an enormous amount of surveying of the electorate. A few weeks ago, Shor was walking me through a deck he made of key charts and numbers that explain the election results. And I thought this would be good to do in public. Because this is information that doesn’t just help explain what went wrong for Democrats in 2024. It’s a set of hard truths they need to keep in mind to mount a comeback in 2026 and 2028.This episode is also a bit of an experiment. It works great in audio. But on YouTube, you can actually see the slides. So if you’re up for a video podcast, this is a good one to start with: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@EzraKleinShow" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/@EzraKleinShow</a>This episode contains strong language.Mentioned:<a href="https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/jnod5b2gq4w5fhmk91mzl/The-Ezra-Klein-Show-Blue-Rose-Research-Slide-Deck.pdf?rlkey=o6d9q04ir6h4vawfw6255dvft&amp;st=ve39b6ew&amp;dl=0" target="_blank">Blue Rose Research slide deck</a>"<a href="https://www.vox.com/2015/8/15/9159117/donald-trump-moderate">Donald Trump is the perfect 'moderate'</a>" by Ezra KleinBook Recommendations:<a href="https://press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691248554/the-hollow-parties?srsltid=AfmBOoqowRmwVhHmqR46awzOzeyYNEitK_IcZD237M021KBXw4Ntb8c2" target="_blank">The Hollow Parties</a> by Daniel Schlozman and Sam Rosenfeld<a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/nature-and-origins-of-mass-opinion/70B1485D3A9CFF55ADCCDD42FC7E926A" target="_blank">The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion</a> by John R. Zaller<a href="https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/215192/the-victory-lab-by-sasha-issenberg/" target="_blank">The Victory Lab</a> by Sasha IssenbergThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/column/ezra-klein-podcast" target="_blank">nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast</a>. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.html" target="_blank">https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs</a>.This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Jack McCordick. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris. Mixing by Isaac Jones, with Efim Shapiro and Aman Sahota. Our executive producer is Claire Gordon. The show’s production team also includes Rollin Hu, Elias Isquith and Kristin Lin. Original music by Pat McCusker and Aman Sahota. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser.
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After the last election, there were all kinds of theories about where Democrats went wrong. But now, four months later, we have a lot more data – and it tells a few clear stories.

David Shor is the head of data science at Blue Rose Research, a Democratic polling firm, which does an enormous amount of surveying of the electorate. A few weeks ago, Shor was walking me through a deck he made of key charts and numbers that explain the election results. And I thought this would be good to do in public. Because this is information that doesn’t just help explain what went wrong for Democrats in 2024. It’s a set of hard truths they need to keep in mind to mount a comeback in 2026 and 2028.

This episode is also a bit of an experiment. It works great in audio. But on YouTube, you can actually see the slides. So if you’re up for a video podcast, this is a good one to start with: https://www.youtube.com/@EzraKleinShow

This episode contains strong language.

Mentioned:

Blue Rose Research slide deck

"Donald Trump is the perfect 'moderate'" by Ezra Klein

Book Recommendations:

The Hollow Parties by Daniel Schlozman and Sam Rosenfeld

The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion by John R. Zaller

The Victory Lab by Sasha Issenberg

Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.

You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.

This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Jack McCordick. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris. Mixing by Isaac Jones, with Efim Shapiro and Aman Sahota. Our executive producer is Claire Gordon. The show’s production team also includes Rollin Hu, Elias Isquith and Kristin Lin. Original music by Pat McCusker and Aman Sahota. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser.

Democrats Need to Face Why Trump Won